PAM-VECTOR-LOGIC
0x7a9365ac4b2dbb2bd5c351056ea6deb5d6a1179a
- Realised P&L
- $-33.12
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $5.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.202 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.030 | $0.66 | −$4.34 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.25at 0.308Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
- +$6.36at 0.440Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
- +$0.21at 0.826Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
- +$-20.00at 0.015Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$-20.79at 0.214Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 01:10 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.217 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 23:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 03:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.30 |
| 07-28 03:51 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.60 |
| 07-25 09:12 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 07:14 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 06-04 13:05 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 07:03 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.93 |
| 06-04 02:11 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1248573694 | $14.31 |
| 06-04 01:02 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 19:01 | Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.86 |
| 05-27 03:14 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.015 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 03:45 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.2993414398 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 03:42 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2056806975 | $20.00 |