OliverPleasance
0x7a8b9e9b02a2daef988abb0310362a71116bc3fe
- Realised P&L
- $-7.97
- Volume
- $148.52
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $54.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.563 | $40.11 | +$1.51 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.381 | $8.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.125 | $5.26 | −$2.74 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.057 | $0.72 | −$7.28 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 09:59 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3559999859 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 13:02 | Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999815 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 12:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999268 | $8.00 |
| 09-04 16:06 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5459999929 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 16:06 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5277361963 | $8.60 |