0x7a83cD1a9d4F876615dc4c7044C6234De0EfA220-1782013225985
0x7a83cd1a9d4f876615dc4c7044c6234de0efa220
- Realised P&L
- $-263.46
- Volume
- $42.4k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $9.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.34at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?
- +$9.84at 0.672Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$7.25at 0.168Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$6.00at 0.688Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?
- +$4.44at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 08:14 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.5999999829 | $7.00 |
| 10-27 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 08:07 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 07:16 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 07:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.94999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 09-08 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:10 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.46 |
| 09-07 04:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.7260069 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099997813 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.22 |