PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7a83cD1a9d4F876615dc4c7044C6234De0EfA220-1782013225985

0x7a83cd1a9d4f876615dc4c7044c6234de0efa220

Realised P&L
$-263.46
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$9.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? · Yes0.5810.535$9.21−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29? · Yes0.5950.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.2420.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.1750.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 08:14Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.5999999829$7.00
10-27 08:13Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-27 08:07Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.5399999568$3.00
10-27 08:01Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-18 23:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.8199994588$1.00
09-10 07:16Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-09 07:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.94999962$2.00
09-08 07:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?SELL0.01$0.04
09-08 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-08 03:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-07 17:10Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?SELL0.999$2.46
09-07 04:49Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
09-07 04:46Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 7?BUY0.7260069$1.00
09-07 04:34Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?BUY0.8099997813$2.00
09-07 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETSELL0.77$1.22