79VBB9
0x7a6f9a4f1d0e9417d525b45125332a77ca11e243
- Realised P&L
- $357.25
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.12at 0.933Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
- +$11.90at 0.874Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
- +$4.37at 0.970Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
- +$-2.84at 0.689Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 08:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0764995506 | $45.00 |
| 09-09 08:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999896 | $2.20 |
| 09-09 08:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999924 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 08:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099999909 | $7.20 |
| 09-09 08:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.90 |
| 09-09 08:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 09-09 08:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1205631496 | $128.75 |
| 09-09 08:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2882016214 | $71.25 |
| 08-21 08:53 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $26.18 |
| 08-21 08:53 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1662358798 | $38.40 |
| 08-21 08:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2695679974 | $62.40 |
| 08-21 08:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4970760719 | $108.00 |
| 08-21 08:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7278111224 | $53.60 |
| 08-21 08:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6610176778 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 08:51 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699644529 | $82.50 |