clarkcharm
0x7a6424a61eb8fe17b8d9494c5af51958ef958c1b
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $86.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $11.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$1.50 |
| Bulls vs. Hornets · Bulls | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Hawks vs. Pistons · Hawks | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.46 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$683.10 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.30 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.49 |
| Rockets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$638.40 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$386.10 |
| Wizards vs. 76ers · Wizards | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$287.08 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.375Heat vs. Mavericks
- +$2.0kat 0.723Pelicans vs. Celtics
- +$1.8kat 0.650Timberwolves vs. Magic
- +$1.6kat 0.205Bucks vs. Wizards
- +$1.1kat 0.470Knicks vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 12:00 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-26 01:56 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-16 04:28 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.09 |
| 08-10 01:54 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 08-05 10:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 07-31 09:16 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.582449 | $11.65 |
| 07-19 07:29 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.805 | $40.25 |
| 07-12 05:28 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-05 14:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.967 | $48.35 |
| 06-23 02:50 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-10 16:19 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $14.67 |
| 05-18 03:19 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.69 | $48.30 |
| 04-10 22:31 | Pelicans vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.94 | $3.4k |
| 04-09 02:54 | Thunder vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.94 | $443.30 |
| 04-08 17:00 | Timberwolves vs. Magic | BUY | 0.78 | $2.0k |