PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7A301EB273227d4054582436aB348Bb519ECa46E-1761637475530

0x7a301eb273227d4054582436ab348bb519eca46e

Realised P&L
$-788.20
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$0.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0170.005$0.55$1.15
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · Yes0.0290.017$0.33$0.25
Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets0.7700.000$0.00$223.30
Hawks vs. Knicks · Hawks0.4360.000$0.00$196.60
Celtics vs. Hawks · Celtics0.5260.000$0.00$133.23
Bucks vs. Jazz · Bucks0.6800.000$0.00$183.60
Heat vs. Pacers · Heat0.8000.000$0.00$200.00
76ers vs. Hawks · 76ers0.3100.000$0.00$46.50
Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers0.6000.000$0.00$120.00
Jazz vs. Pelicans · Jazz0.3510.000$0.00$191.49
Knicks vs. Rockets · Knicks0.5310.000$0.00$116.09
Mavericks vs. Suns · Mavericks0.3560.000$0.00$308.38
Timberwolves vs. 76ers · Timberwolves0.5000.000$0.00$108.19
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · Trail Blazers0.3880.000$0.00$117.58
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 05:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.017$1.70
08-25 09:20Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?SELL0.86$17.20
07-25 07:17Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.997$9.97
07-23 09:08Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$1.37
07-23 09:08Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.92$18.40
06-22 08:35Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$1.95
06-22 08:35Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.91$18.20
06-22 08:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?SELL0.983$19.68
05-28 07:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$15.90
05-26 04:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.6$60.00
05-25 04:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.54$54.00
05-15 07:48Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.995$121.39
05-15 07:44Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.999$121.88
04-18 10:59Hawks vs. KnicksBUY0.33$145.70
04-08 09:17Mavericks vs. SunsBUY0.18$151.98