MidnightMan11
0x7a2ab0a2169b4b0cc97e75d9ef0458ae538af639
- Realised P&L
- $-34.70
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $35.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.50at 0.240Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?
- +$28.88at 0.200Trump wins every swing state?
- +$18.43at 0.140Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
- +$17.86at 0.183Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
- +$16.35at 0.155Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 01:51 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.9271598415 | $7.02 |
| 03-13 11:30 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? | BUY | 0.7599999739 | $3.50 |
| 03-13 10:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6199999173 | $2.10 |
| 03-12 18:23 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.49 | $1.32 |
| 03-12 17:38 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 03:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3854289671 | $6.75 |
| 03-12 03:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4490010007 | $8.00 |
| 03-12 03:03 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 02:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.369008883 | $1.24 |
| 03-11 01:41 | Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8899999696 | $2.05 |
| 03-11 01:37 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |
| 03-11 01:29 | Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 00:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8790056114 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 00:38 | Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 00:32 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |