PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MidnightMan11

0x7a2ab0a2169b4b0cc97e75d9ef0458ae538af639

Realised P&L
$-34.70
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$35.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3850.568$9.94+$3.19
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7500.940$8.77+$1.77
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4490.425$7.57$0.43
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.381$4.76+$3.76
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? · Yes0.7600.875$4.03+$0.53
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.20
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00$1.24
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump cut military spending? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$3.31
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$3.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-16 01:51Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.9271598415$7.02
03-13 11:30Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?BUY0.7599999739$3.50
03-13 10:41Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6199999173$2.10
03-12 18:23Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.49$1.32
03-12 17:38Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.3699998631$1.00
03-12 03:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3854289671$6.75
03-12 03:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4490010007$8.00
03-12 03:03Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.08$1.00
03-12 02:29Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.369008883$1.24
03-11 01:41Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8899999696$2.05
03-11 01:37GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.75$7.00
03-11 01:29Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?BUY0.6599998733$5.00
03-11 00:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.8790056114$5.00
03-11 00:38Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
03-11 00:32Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.4299999871$5.00