25689768903
0x79cb48fbeb3adbf7d1c5aecde998f5934c40cf01
- Realised P&L
- $396.42
- Volume
- $254.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,509
- Open portfolio
- $66.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,509
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.379Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$1.6kat 0.463Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
- +$1.6kat 0.623Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.756Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.837Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:11 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 11-01 03:48 | Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 23:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999924 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 20:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-31 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-31 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 11:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 10-31 08:38 | Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 03:52 | Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-31 01:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 20:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-30 18:23 | Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |