wangbianyuan
0x79b189a5930bc0de9fffd9f36388478977dc938d
- Realised P&L
- $-19.99
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $10.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.430Commanders vs. Giants
- +$0.62at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$0.32at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.60 |
| 10-18 11:38 | Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997621 | $2.24 |
| 09-21 09:48 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.80 |
| 09-21 09:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.67 |
| 09-21 09:40 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 09:30 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 09:29 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.7299999438 | $2.60 |
| 07-23 09:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.10 |
| 05-30 08:33 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 03:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.9989999856 | $65.00 |
| 05-28 09:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.00 |
| 05-28 09:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 09:31 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.00 |
| 05-23 09:09 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.00 |
| 05-13 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.00 |