Vaibhav171295
0x798dd8b27f2e43bbc2f0cc8825a14b261594f5ea
- Realised P&L
- $-7.60
- Volume
- $184.11
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.504 | $13.90 | +$3.90 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.600 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.335Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$2.05at 0.507Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.31at 0.690US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.795Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$0.54at 0.724Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 03:03 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.4735228758 | $5.07 |
| 05-24 12:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 05-24 12:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May? | BUY | 0.5599999963 | $6.00 |
| 05-24 12:44 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.3349999585 | $4.00 |
| 05-24 01:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.30 |
| 05-24 01:30 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 05-22 03:26 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 03:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 03:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.3513154412 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 16:12 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.97 |
| 05-21 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 05-21 02:25 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 02:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 05-21 01:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.18 |
| 05-20 10:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.63 |