PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

robert8888

0x7946ffdb6799dd706179a834d4dde14fce2d910a

Realised P&L
$-575.09
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$422.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1810.183$101.38+$1.38
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.037$96.78−$703.21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1130.098$86.73−$13.27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1680.122$72.92−$27.08
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.430$65.15−$34.85
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes0.3980.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 14:05EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.3366092181$30.00
03-31 14:03EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.2918807604$40.54
03-31 14:00EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
03-25 16:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.112999999$100.00
03-25 16:39Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1679999987$100.00
03-25 16:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1809999988$100.00
03-12 18:21Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
03-12 18:20Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.6390003572$30.00
03-12 18:19Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2190023965$20.00
03-12 18:18Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
03-05 14:01Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.08$27.57
03-05 03:00Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY0.3983770121$100.00
03-04 16:44Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.501$299.16
03-04 16:41Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY0.5019999998$300.00
03-04 12:42Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY0.697489038$50.00