PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

robert8888

0x7946ffdb6799dd706179a834d4dde14fce2d910a

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$566.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.071$184.28$615.72
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1810.207$114.64+$14.64
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1130.128$112.83+$12.83
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.555$84.09$15.91
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1680.117$69.94$30.06
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes0.3980.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 14:05EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.3366092181$30.00
03-31 14:03EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.2918807604$40.54
03-31 14:00EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
03-25 16:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.112999999$100.00
03-25 16:39Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1679999987$100.00
03-25 16:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1809999988$100.00
03-12 18:21Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.5799999942$30.00
03-12 18:20Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.6390003572$30.00
03-12 18:19Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2190023965$20.00
03-12 18:18Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
03-05 14:01Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.08$27.57
03-05 03:00Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY0.3983770121$100.00
03-04 16:44Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.501$299.16
03-04 16:41Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY0.5019999998$300.00
03-04 12:42Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY0.697489038$50.00