0x792DBaB91305e6ddf73ae6665D386CA021f9B1D1-1775674914553
0x792dbab91305e6ddf73ae6665d386ca021f9b1d1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.10
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $38.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.146 | $21.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $10.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.141 | 0.095 | $6.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.20at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.84at 0.136Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$10.86at 0.430Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$7.66at 0.590Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
- +$2.12at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:10 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.140863587 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 07:25 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.3333333333 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 04:02 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 08-11 07:41 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 14:52 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1393280575 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 15:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.208 | $13.52 |
| 06-12 23:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1689999934 | $18.85 |
| 06-10 21:37 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.4199999706 | $8.00 |
| 05-28 19:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 18:37 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | SELL | 0.997 | $18.75 |
| 05-14 12:30 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | BUY | 0.5799113379 | $10.91 |
| 04-29 15:17 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | SELL | 0.0203745318 | $0.27 |
| 04-27 23:00 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | SELL | 0.0266325111 | $1.68 |
| 04-26 10:22 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.60 |
| 04-25 17:40 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |