PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x792DBaB91305e6ddf73ae6665D386CA021f9B1D1-1775674914553

0x792dbab91305e6ddf73ae6665d386ca021f9b1d1

Realised P&L
$-4.10
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$38.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.1390.146$21.03+$1.03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4200.445$10.60+$0.60
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.1410.095$6.74$3.26
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.85
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 21:10Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.140863587$10.00
09-09 07:25Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.3333333333$10.00
09-07 04:02Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.58$23.20
08-11 07:41Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
08-08 14:52Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1393280575$20.00
07-13 15:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.208$13.52
06-12 23:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1689999934$18.85
06-10 21:37Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.4199999706$8.00
05-28 19:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
05-28 18:37Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?SELL0.997$18.75
05-14 12:30Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?BUY0.5799113379$10.91
04-29 15:17Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?SELL0.0203745318$0.27
04-27 23:00Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?SELL0.0266325111$1.68
04-26 10:22Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.125$1.60
04-25 17:40Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0299999712$1.00