JambonMogettes
0x7923d4ff806b231b3276592391de5d0953356c0b
- Realised P&L
- $-144.8k
- Volume
- $13.80M
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.792 | $2.1k | +$788.82 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.207 | $559.59 | −$788.82 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $219.22 | −$3.59 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $169.20 | −$3.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.1kat 0.430Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$1.6kat 0.740Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$665.80at 0.245Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$588.16at 0.270Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5
- +$416.39at 0.970Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:13 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $9.36 |
| 10-01 12:47 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.2k |
| 07-14 18:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.375 | $1.88 |
| 07-07 15:52 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.46 | $109.5k |
| 07-05 11:17 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.83 | $6.7k |
| 07-03 21:00 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.58 | $10.8k |
| 07-02 19:09 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.1234019892 | $3.3k |
| 07-02 19:09 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.0206997219 | $1.3k |
| 07-01 19:43 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4646996019 | $22.3k |
| 06-30 20:20 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $149.4k |
| 06-30 20:19 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 06-29 07:46 | Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Egypt? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.32 |
| 06-29 07:44 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.70 |
| 06-28 18:43 | Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco? | SELL | 0.54 | $13.50 |
| 06-28 18:40 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.64 | $15.36 |