PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jc8wupvy5r56

0x7919ffe78946913b3343d49d27cb83f7c48fee88

Realised P&L
$11.20
Volume
$658.57
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$46.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · No0.8510.849$9.96−$0.04
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.7370.750$5.08+$0.08
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9710.976$5.02+$0.02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2700.265$4.91−$0.09
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7600.745$4.90−$0.10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? · Yes0.9560.988$3.10+$0.10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre? · Yes0.9900.987$2.99−$0.01
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? · Yes0.9860.980$2.98−$0.02
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.9700.951$2.94−$0.06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$2.18−$0.02
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7200.715$1.09−$0.01
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6000.585$1.07−$0.03
Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.269999993$5.00
10-10 10:23Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9709999221$5.00
10-10 07:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.8519999864$5.00
10-10 07:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.8509999939$5.00
10-10 07:02Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
10-07 19:00Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.7369999785$5.00
10-05 19:27Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?BUY0.9556042206$3.00
10-05 19:26Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?BUY0.9699999935$3.00
10-05 19:24Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?BUY0.985999998$3.00
10-05 19:20Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre?BUY0.99$3.00
10-04 10:46Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2599999896$3.00
10-04 10:44Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.56$1.18
10-04 02:48Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.53$0.65
10-04 01:34Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.52$0.03
10-04 01:34Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.52$0.02