jc8wupvy5r56
0x7919ffe78946913b3343d49d27cb83f7c48fee88
- Realised P&L
- $11.20
- Volume
- $658.57
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $46.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.95at 0.467Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
- +$8.42at 0.270Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.60at 0.379Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?
- +$3.41at 0.404Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?
- +$1.76at 0.393Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 10:23 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9709999221 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 07:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.8519999864 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 07:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.8509999939 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 07:02 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 19:00 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7369999785 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:27 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BUY | 0.9556042206 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 19:26 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 19:24 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 19:20 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 10:46 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 10:44 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.18 |
| 10-04 02:48 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.65 |
| 10-04 01:34 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.03 |
| 10-04 01:34 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.02 |