0x78ecC286c195DFfd973a0095f9Ef5E018c475948-1773542129377
0x78ecc286c195dffd973a0095f9ef5e018c475948
- Realised P&L
- $-58.26
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $25.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.53at 0.184Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$3.54at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$3.28at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$2.85at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.59at 0.536Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 19:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.196 | $9.86 |
| 06-13 19:15 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 19:14 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 19:13 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999933 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 19:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.161 | $8.00 |
| 06-04 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8383233453 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 03:45 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |
| 05-30 03:45 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4299999896 | $14.00 |
| 05-22 11:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 05-22 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2158273105 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 18:31 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 18:29 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |