PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78ecC286c195DFfd973a0095f9Ef5E018c475948-1773542129377

0x78ecc286c195dffd973a0095f9ef5e018c475948

Realised P&L
$-58.26
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$25.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3820.435$21.65+$2.65
Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.0770.041$3.99$3.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$3.00
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down0.5350.000$0.00$1.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$26.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.2950.000$0.00$4.91
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.5480.000$0.00$0.98
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$4.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$10.00
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.2730.000$0.00$28.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 19:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.196$9.86
06-13 19:15Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999272$3.00
06-13 19:14Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5799999265$3.00
06-13 19:13Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999933$3.00
06-13 19:13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.161$8.00
06-04 02:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.3399999422$2.00
06-04 02:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.8383233453$5.00
05-30 03:45Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$4.00
05-30 03:45Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4299999896$14.00
05-22 11:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
05-22 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
05-22 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.2158273105$5.00
05-22 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.209999974$5.00
05-20 18:31Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
05-20 18:29Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?BUY0.1699998861$1.00