fbsdgdhfjnj
0x78dcaa222bff1b73e84ef0755ccb86c84f1408a3
- Realised P&L
- $89.59
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $81.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 in September? · No | 0.994 | 0.997 | $55.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $14.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September? · No | 0.989 | 0.988 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.28at 0.350Yoon arrested by January 31?
- +$64.00at 0.360Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
- +$4.40at 0.982Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$3.95at 0.950Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$2.58at 0.951Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:03 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 09:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.9889999995 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.9939999991 | $55.00 |
| 08-04 08:40 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.00 |
| 07-15 09:41 | Will BNB reach $1,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 07-15 09:39 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9924688938 | $185.00 |
| 06-19 15:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $164.00 |
| 06-07 15:46 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $260.00 |
| 06-04 04:50 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.9919999987 | $87.00 |
| 06-04 04:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999994 | $53.00 |
| 06-04 04:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $220.00 |
| 05-22 07:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9749999965 | $70.00 |
| 05-17 05:35 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $85.00 |
| 05-17 05:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | SELL | 0.994 | $80.00 |