PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

8dddj

0x78cb340c764c847d5b0e9ad65509bb2f007dc94e

Realised P&L
$552.06
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
525
Open portfolio
$95.60

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded525
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh0.9130.937$9.37+$0.24
Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills0.8500.880$8.80+$0.30
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over0.4800.805$8.05+$3.25
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5 · Over0.6000.785$7.85+$1.85
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.735$7.35+$0.05
Spread: Bills (-20.5) · Lions0.5300.675$6.75+$1.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6400.665$6.65+$0.25
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) · Pittsburgh0.4900.695$6.36+$1.88
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5520.555$5.55+$0.03
Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4000.515$5.15+$1.15
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.3900.450$4.50+$0.60
Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Bills0.8300.840$4.20+$0.05
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 · Under0.3400.290$2.90$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.5400.255$2.55$2.85
Spread: Bills (-7.5) · Lions0.3490.235$2.22$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.2778066038$7.07
09-12 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.18$5.03
09-12 21:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.33$8.98
09-12 21:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.4$11.83
09-12 21:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.6$15.64
09-12 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5$13.05
09-12 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.69$17.55
09-12 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.62$18.43
09-12 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.36$9.70
09-12 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.6$17.80
09-12 20:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.4$10.29
09-12 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.6$16.17
09-12 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.3257594717$9.37
09-12 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.7075025415$20.88
09-12 19:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.35$9.56