set1991
0x78c014495cd93097ee601758cb44da04be2e2c65
- Realised P&L
- $-10.57
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $8.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.11at 0.145Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.51at 0.229Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
- +$1.19at 0.718Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
- +$1.19at 0.632Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO3) - FRAG University Playoffs
- +$0.65at 0.757Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:14 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.7799999843 | $4.97 |
| 10-14 07:11 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:15 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 23:15 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 10:38 | Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 10:37 | Rovereto: Jil Teichmann vs Tessa Brockmann | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 07:59 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 07:28 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 00:00 | Santa Cruz 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Juan Estevez | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 00:00 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:10 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 19:26 | Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Play-In | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 19:25 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 19:24 | Panthers vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |