MikeMillHotMill
0x78b7b2d7b17a18a07b0d30a87c28c953506e2782
- Realised P&L
- $373.80
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $2.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.65at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$58.96at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$38.02at 0.122Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$36.78at 0.221Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$16.75at 0.239Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 17:17 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:18 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:17 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 11:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.40749993 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 10:31 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 10:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 08:06 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3709998753 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 08:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:24 | Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 17:21 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999743 | $4.00 |
| 06-14 07:23 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0162990683 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |