PolyBot

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Traders

MikeMillHotMill

0x78b7b2d7b17a18a07b0d30a87c28c953506e2782

Realised P&L
$373.80
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$2.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3710.435$1.17+$0.17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6400.635$0.99−$0.01
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.9500.290$0.31−$0.69
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.5500.038$0.28−$3.72
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.024$0.17−$0.85
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? · Yes0.7700.001$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.0180.000$0.00−$10.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.1060.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.5380.000$0.00−$1.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.0130.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 17:17Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.219999978$1.00
10-06 20:18Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
10-06 20:17Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
07-19 11:05Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.40749993$3.00
07-18 10:31France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-18 10:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-18 10:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919998248$1.00
06-23 08:06Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3709998753$1.00
06-23 08:05Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.64$1.00
06-19 17:24Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-17 17:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1179999743$4.00
06-14 07:23US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-14 07:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.29999997$5.00
06-14 07:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.0162990683$25.00
06-14 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.29999997$5.00