PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda

Realised P&L
$-47.73
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
721
Open portfolio
$277.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded721
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9971.000$14.30+$0.04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5160.605$13.83+$2.04
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · No0.9310.925$13.77$0.09
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.8250.836$10.65+$0.14
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$6.03+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.605$5.02$0.71
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · No0.9950.999$4.94+$0.02
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9981.000$4.69+$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? · No0.1100.185$4.49+$1.82
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9590.993$4.42+$0.15
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9970.999$4.28+$0.01
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9991.000$4.27+$0.00
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · No0.4700.925$4.23+$2.08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1350.548$4.10+$3.09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9840.995$4.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 14:44Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.993$1.00
09-19 14:43Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?SELL0.901$1.19
09-19 13:51Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
09-19 13:51Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.995$1.00
09-19 13:51Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
09-19 13:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.728$2.90
09-19 13:14Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.994$1.00
09-19 13:14Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
09-19 13:13Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.994$1.00
09-19 13:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-19 13:13Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.997$1.00
09-19 13:13Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
09-19 13:06Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.9909999982$1.13
09-19 13:06Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.5989998293$1.13
09-19 13:06Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.8499998496$1.13