0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
- Realised P&L
- $-47.73
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 721
- Open portfolio
- $277.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded721
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$661.02at 0.006No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$36.53at 0.165Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$31.67at 0.169Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29?
- +$18.36at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$16.36at 0.288SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:44 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:43 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.901 | $1.19 |
| 09-19 13:51 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:51 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:51 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.728 | $2.90 |
| 09-19 13:14 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:13 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:13 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:13 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:06 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.9909999982 | $1.13 |
| 09-19 13:06 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.5989998293 | $1.13 |
| 09-19 13:06 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | BUY | 0.8499998496 | $1.13 |