PolyBot

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Traders

OptimusTipp

0x781c57df3539d6c1b87b7a7a9059052263854fd1

Realised P&L
$19.58
Volume
$244.07
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$42.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? · Grüne0.8300.870$20.96+$0.96
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.4400.979$11.12+$6.12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.285$7.92+$2.92
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.2800.355$2.54+$0.54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:27Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-13 20:26Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-13 20:26Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
09-13 20:12Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.72$10.91
08-16 15:55Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-24 09:17Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.17$1.55
04-19 20:22Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.64$3.00
04-12 08:53Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
04-04 16:33Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.996$6.22
03-29 19:41Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.17$7.73
03-27 11:20Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
03-27 11:19Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.8$5.00
03-26 21:33Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
03-26 21:04Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?BUY0.5841583939$10.00