Zaratustra
0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185
- Realised P&L
- $27.7k
- Volume
- $8.80M
- Markets traded
- 695
- Open portfolio
- $89.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded695
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.540Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
- +$6.6kat 0.908US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.789US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.680Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$4.2kat 0.768Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:16 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-17 20:16 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.44 | $34.76 |
| 09-17 01:08 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-16 00:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 18:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0599485933 | $47.11 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $440.02 |
| 09-14 21:40 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.997 | $348.95 |
| 09-14 21:39 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $328.57 |
| 09-14 21:31 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $240.00 |
| 09-14 21:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.53 | $196.10 |
| 09-14 21:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $208.83 |
| 09-14 21:02 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $89.11 |
| 09-14 15:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $23.23 |
| 09-14 10:13 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 09-13 23:10 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |