Zaratustra
0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185
- Realised P&L
- $28.9k
- Volume
- $8.37M
- Markets traded
- 574
- Open portfolio
- $62.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded574
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.540Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
- +$6.6kat 0.908US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.789US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.680Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$4.2kat 0.768Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 21:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $24.94 |
| 08-01 21:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $23.23 |
| 08-01 01:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.85 | $84.15 |
| 08-01 01:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.85 | $213.34 |
| 08-01 00:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 07-31 22:03 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.5725 | $114.50 |
| 07-31 21:31 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6228466479 | $256.04 |
| 07-31 21:31 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.5917678178 | $80.54 |
| 07-31 20:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.78 | $130.29 |
| 07-31 17:45 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.34 | $63.24 |
| 07-31 12:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 07-31 11:36 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 07-31 11:29 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.896 | $14.63 |
| 07-31 11:28 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.581 | $14.72 |