PolyBot

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Traders

Zaratustra

0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185

Realised P&L
$27.7k
Volume
$8.80M
Markets traded
695
Open portfolio
$89.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded695
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7200.765$10.7k+$635.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8230.855$8.6k+$320.40
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9220.945$7.3k+$174.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8450.835$5.8k$69.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7330.600$5.7k$1.3k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9320.991$5.0k+$289.84
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7070.695$4.8k$83.74
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8630.875$3.5k+$48.25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9470.958$2.9k+$31.50
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7440.815$2.0k+$177.51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.9040.934$1.9k+$61.53
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.865$1.7k+$50.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7140.715$1.4k+$1.00
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9650.979$1.4k+$19.79
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.935$1.4k+$52.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:16Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.41$2.05
09-17 20:16Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.44$34.76
09-17 01:08Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$24.00
09-16 00:20Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.2$19.80
09-15 18:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.0599485933$47.11
09-15 14:55Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.11$440.02
09-14 21:40Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.997$348.95
09-14 21:39Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.61$328.57
09-14 21:31Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4$240.00
09-14 21:24Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.53$196.10
09-14 21:06Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.76$208.83
09-14 21:02Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.67$89.11
09-14 15:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.18$23.23
09-14 10:13Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.16$160.00
09-13 23:10Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.89$890.00