PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Zaratustra

0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185

Realised P&L
$28.9k
Volume
$8.37M
Markets traded
574
Open portfolio
$62.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded574
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9220.927$7.1k+$35.80
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9850.993$5.0k+$37.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8780.865$4.5k$65.85
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9630.977$3.9k+$56.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9050.924$3.7k+$77.74
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9680.954$2.9k$42.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6720.655$2.4k$63.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5630.469$2.3k$467.50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.865$2.3k$13.25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3850.375$1.5k$38.01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.925$1.4k+$37.50
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.7050.685$1.4k$40.61
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.935$1.3k+$7.00
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.6660.633$1.2k$61.03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4300.475$1.1k+$107.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.87$1.0k
08-02 21:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.58$24.94
08-01 21:14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.86$23.23
08-01 01:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.85$84.15
08-01 01:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.85$213.34
08-01 00:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.82$164.00
07-31 22:03Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.5725$114.50
07-31 21:31Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6228466479$256.04
07-31 21:31Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.5917678178$80.54
07-31 20:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.78$130.29
07-31 17:45Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?SELL0.34$63.24
07-31 12:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.43$86.00
07-31 11:36Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.86$2.58
07-31 11:29Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.896$14.63
07-31 11:28Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.581$14.72