PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

botnot

0x78162a0f2925b450a85f5a3e46418f9cbfd6ce35

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$401.7k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$661.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.018$661.87$196.25
Ravens vs. Chiefs · Ravens0.5800.000$0.00$300.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1920.000$0.00$2.0k
Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins0.5200.000$0.00$200.00
Commanders vs. Falcons · Commanders0.5400.000$0.00$300.00
Seahawks vs. Jaguars · Jaguars0.5100.000$0.00$300.00
Seahawks vs. Steelers · Steelers0.6100.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$100.00
49ers vs. Rams · Rams0.8000.000$0.00$300.00
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$100.00
Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$467.37
Buccaneers vs. Texans · Texans0.5800.000$0.00$200.00
Giants vs. Saints · Giants0.4600.000$0.00$400.00
Falcons vs. Panthers · Falcons0.7000.000$0.00$200.00
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-01 02:22Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?BUY0.2199999967$40.00
05-01 02:22Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.035$35.00
04-27 03:27Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0529999995$86.36
04-27 03:19Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0649999962$12.98
04-27 02:52Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0749999967$17.34
04-27 02:46Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0724113688$4.38
04-27 02:44Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.066$17.31
04-27 02:44Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0659999941$8.66
04-27 02:43Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0789573596$17.35
04-27 02:40Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0859999975$26.05
04-27 02:40Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0879999976$26.06
04-27 02:38Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0879999976$26.06
04-27 02:38Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0879999976$26.06
04-27 02:38Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0875906015$26.06
04-27 02:38Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?BUY0.0869999982$34.74