PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x780A08325873dAe090B7da0B8FDe988A8CF4c0c7-1764704331846

0x780a08325873dae090b7da0b8fde988a8cf4c0c7

Realised P&L
$86.99
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$211.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1500.815$162.68+$132.68
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0910.161$17.71+$7.71
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1620.123$15.25−$4.75
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$8.25−$41.75
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2550.154$6.06−$3.94
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2540.028$1.62−$13.38
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$5.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 11:16Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY0.0925925926$5.00
06-11 11:12SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
06-11 11:12SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
04-11 17:28Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1351873087$5.00
04-11 17:27Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1619999934$20.00
04-11 17:26Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.709999998$50.00
04-11 17:25Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$50.00
03-19 16:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
03-04 18:00US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.1399999956$25.00
03-04 18:00US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
03-02 15:25Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0906483672$10.00
03-02 15:25Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2549999828$10.00
03-02 15:21Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
03-02 15:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0368992984$10.00
02-07 15:56Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.2259993329$20.00