HorribleWork
0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025
- Realised P&L
- $-407.6k
- Volume
- $27.97M
- Markets traded
- 1,312
- Open portfolio
- $108.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,312
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.9kat 0.144Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$85.6kat 0.147Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$78.6kat 0.214UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$54.7kat 0.004Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$53.5kat 0.285Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:27 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 02:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $806.17 |
| 11-01 00:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $39.11 |
| 11-01 00:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $832.72 |
| 10-31 22:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $39.11 |
| 10-31 22:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $390.12 |
| 10-31 22:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $58.67 |
| 10-31 22:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $7.83 |
| 10-31 22:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $60.77 |
| 10-31 22:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $19.56 |
| 10-31 21:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $3.91 |
| 10-31 21:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 21:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.05 | $57.70 |
| 10-31 19:31 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.81 | $761.22 |
| 10-31 18:03 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.07 | $45.29 |