PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

OneLastHurrah

0x7803ddf6a3ee55dc0ca81e727eba23a627359e91

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$737.7k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.795$628.05+$3.62
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7710.755$611.55$12.65
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · Yes0.6400.380$446.12$305.44
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.7810.780$369.87$0.48
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.7700.765$367.87$2.46
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8740.865$100.34$1.08
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8320.795$71.12$3.28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.2920.285$67.78$1.59
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6320.650$55.68+$1.51
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.8500.850$42.50+$0.00
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8600.835$41.75$1.25
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.805$40.25$0.25
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8200.795$39.75$1.25
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7600.755$37.75$0.25
Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7500.750$37.50+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:57Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.86$851.40
09-17 16:50Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.66$139.92
09-17 15:14Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.42$330.12
09-17 03:442026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.69$0.10
09-17 03:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.39$0.06
09-17 03:44Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.88$0.84
09-17 00:082026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.39$1.1k
09-16 03:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.55$0.13
09-16 03:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.36$0.20
09-16 03:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$0.14
09-16 03:44Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.43$0.18
09-16 03:44Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$0.16
09-16 02:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$672.84
09-15 19:28OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.8$40.00
09-15 13:40Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.53$451.03