PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OneLastHurrah

0x7803ddf6a3ee55dc0ca81e727eba23a627359e91

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$495.6k
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3300.345$1.3k+$57.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5700.565$228.22$2.07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8600.835$197.89$5.97
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.655$184.24+$4.21
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2900.220$172.92$55.18
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3010.225$161.10$54.20
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.7930.760$138.87$5.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5610.545$136.87$4.10
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event · No0.8680.845$49.73$1.38
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8800.885$44.25+$0.25
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · No0.8800.870$43.50$0.50
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · No0.8700.865$43.25$0.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8500.855$42.75+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.855$42.75$0.25
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.8500.845$42.25$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:50Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.8$1.05
08-03 03:50Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.88$0.78
08-02 08:47Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.69$4.83
08-02 03:51Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7$0.66
08-02 03:51Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.61$0.07
08-02 03:51 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.71$2.26
08-02 03:51Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?SELL0.84$0.56
08-02 03:51Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.82$0.30
08-02 03:51Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.36$0.36
08-02 03:51Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?SELL0.83$0.70
08-02 02:20Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?SELL0.84$99.12
08-02 02:17Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?SELL0.83$63.08
08-02 01:47Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?SELL0.53$197.16
08-01 04:02Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?SELL0.77$0.13
08-01 04:02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$0.17