elig2323
0x77e196dd69e1b25eb94cfad21495bd6c38ba8dd6
- Realised P&L
- $-330.97
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $323.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.36at 0.235Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$89.90at 0.368High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- +$68.15at 0.428Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$63.64at 0.440US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$52.44at 0.720Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0579999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0879355724 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 08:32 | Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0726660772 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 08:08 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 17:32 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1049999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 17:51 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1117622459 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 21:29 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0458090114 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 21:47 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $17.14 |
| 07-25 21:47 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $66.84 |
| 06-12 09:17 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1889999943 | $25.00 |
| 05-20 17:52 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.93 | $38.74 |
| 05-03 16:10 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.4499999887 | $8.00 |
| 04-20 20:28 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0325374228 | $40.00 |
| 04-19 18:57 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1272305883 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 16:29 | Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6 | $14.64 |