PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x77D5477f92120E20014053Bbe436b20b6713dF8f-1724786967560

0x77d5477f92120e20014053bbe436b20b6713df8f

Realised P&L
$5.14
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$8.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026? · No0.8000.880$5.50+$0.50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5200.540$3.12+$0.12
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.3120.000$0.00−$10.00
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$30.22
Fed rate cut by September 18? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$10.78
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.1460.000$0.00−$42.26
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 11:00Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-29 09:12Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
10-29 09:09Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8$5.00
09-17 20:58Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.87$11.15
08-16 11:52Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-13 00:34Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$15.00
08-13 00:33Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.66$55.66
07-29 07:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
07-10 09:32Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-10 09:32Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.495049505$10.00
07-08 09:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$11.69
06-22 22:36Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6099999667$15.00
06-19 19:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.9$14.63
06-18 10:45Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5599999895$15.00
06-15 07:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.69$33.63