PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EMCR

0x77cdfe422fcad884dc660c1e102a2ec03c2c7d8c

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$78.2k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2510.665$423.21+$263.21
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3380.265$180.19$49.80
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3390.512$151.18+$51.18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8330.605$145.33$54.67
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6040.625$103.47+$3.47
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.5960.445$93.25$31.75
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1430.360$78.90+$47.55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2360.162$68.40$31.60
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.3900.415$63.85+$3.85
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? · Yes0.3700.365$58.20$0.80
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5790.503$57.39$8.61
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? · AfD0.6690.710$49.44+$2.83
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.6220.545$48.21$6.79
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.245$47.12$2.88
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1970.177$35.99$4.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:14Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.55$89.00
09-13 20:49Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.0105414768$1.46
09-13 20:49Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.003$0.38
09-13 20:49Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.95$122.58
09-13 20:40Will Peter Karst win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.002$1.01
09-13 20:40Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.002$0.93
09-13 19:40Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.94$6.81
09-13 19:37Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.94$109.93
09-13 18:38Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$93.00
09-13 18:31Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
09-13 10:24Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.64$5.00
09-13 10:22Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-13 10:19Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.0669999997$5.00
09-12 14:57Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-12 14:57Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.6199999975$50.00