EMCR
0x77cdfe422fcad884dc660c1e102a2ec03c2c7d8c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $78.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.63at 0.986Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$213.58at 0.243Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$122.95at 0.641Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$84.68at 0.620Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$81.23at 0.319Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:14 | Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $89.00 |
| 09-13 20:49 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0105414768 | $1.46 |
| 09-13 20:49 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.38 |
| 09-13 20:49 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.95 | $122.58 |
| 09-13 20:40 | Will Peter Karst win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.01 |
| 09-13 20:40 | Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.93 |
| 09-13 19:40 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.94 | $6.81 |
| 09-13 19:37 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.94 | $109.93 |
| 09-13 18:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-13 18:31 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 10:24 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 10:22 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 10:19 | Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.0669999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:57 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 14:57 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |