Grubby-Dolman
0x77c7ed0a02de8db13cb46a17e04d2460822f7a05
- Realised P&L
- $-241.34
- Volume
- $320.2k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $525.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.001Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
- +$27.85at 0.902Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?
- +$20.00at 0.010Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$18.98at 0.955Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$15.13at 0.850Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 21:29 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $101.99 |
| 08-29 21:28 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9415483665 | $103.47 |
| 08-29 21:28 | Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 08-27 05:11 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $8.80 |
| 06-16 04:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 04:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 05:49 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $100.00 |
| 05-31 05:41 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 05-31 05:37 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9700083601 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 04:53 | Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN? | BUY | 0.9 | $182.26 |
| 05-08 04:52 | Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN? | BUY | 0.89 | $72.09 |
| 04-29 04:28 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 04-29 04:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 04-29 04:25 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $26.02 |
| 12-13 06:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $200.00 |