PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Grubby-Dolman

0x77c7ed0a02de8db13cb46a17e04d2460822f7a05

Realised P&L
$-241.34
Volume
$320.2k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$525.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.960$479.75+$14.75
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.989$26.71+$0.69
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$12.50−$87.50
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$4.00−$6.00
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.017$1.70−$9.30
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0100.022$0.81+$0.44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 8? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.50
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$36.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$22.00
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$8.70
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.50
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$10.00
Will John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 21:29Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.971$101.99
08-29 21:28Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9415483665$103.47
08-29 21:28Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?SELL0.98$98.00
08-27 05:11Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.044$8.80
06-16 04:41Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.71$2.00
06-16 04:39Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.009$5.00
05-31 05:49Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.952$100.00
05-31 05:41Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$100.00
05-31 05:37Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.9700083601$100.00
05-08 04:53Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?BUY0.9$182.26
05-08 04:52Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?BUY0.89$72.09
04-29 04:28Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$465.00
04-29 04:27Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.93$186.00
04-29 04:25Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.963$26.02
12-13 06:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.9779999999$200.00