0x77c780de6a45e738928e9c01e76df8a366f41282
0x77c780de6a45e738928e9c01e76df8a366f41282
- Realised P&L
- $14.84
- Volume
- $475.53
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $17.24
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:31 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:31 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:30 | Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:28 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:18 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:52 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:37 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |