PolyBot

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Traders

0x77c780de6a45e738928e9c01e76df8a366f41282

0x77c780de6a45e738928e9c01e76df8a366f41282

Realised P&L
$14.84
Volume
$475.53
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$17.24

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.950$2.85+$1.44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? · Up0.3500.835$2.39+$1.39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.2400.505$2.10+$1.10
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.970$1.73+$0.73
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · Yes0.5500.655$1.19+$0.19
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7700.910$1.18+$0.18
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? · No0.3700.435$1.18+$0.18
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · No0.5900.615$1.04+$0.04
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6800.695$1.02+$0.02
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · Yes0.3900.375$0.96−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.2500.205$0.82−$0.18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.515$0.77−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 02:58WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-12 14:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-12 06:31Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-12 06:31Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 22:30Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 14:30Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-11 06:28Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 21:18Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-10 11:52Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-10 01:45Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-09 17:37Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-09 09:36Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-08 23:44Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-08 15:37Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 07:14SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.2699999784$1.00