0x779D52a043AC8abe5dba6f34919aDFA14478169F-1767465078065
0x779d52a043ac8abe5dba6f34919adfa14478169f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $138.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $121.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$815.77at 0.587Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$374.19at 0.758Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$317.65at 0.790Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$180.60at 0.784Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$148.81at 0.714Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $51.17 |
| 09-12 01:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.769999996 | $34.93 |
| 09-11 14:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 14:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.954 | $239.86 |
| 09-07 13:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $756.01 |
| 09-07 13:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.9592643572 | $780.05 |
| 09-07 13:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 13:22 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 13:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:13 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $14.53 |
| 09-07 13:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.96 |
| 09-07 13:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.59 |
| 09-07 13:11 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-07 13:11 | Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.07 |
| 09-07 13:10 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.69 |