PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5D596B48aE81b9ba1Ac9c93a37e09E508ca65162-1775165964909

0x778b3524d05d89789de8035fa7233f33c43b4e2d

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$61.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.5750.395$2.8k$1.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4670.435$1.8k$132.42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.4030.315$1.6k$451.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.2770.265$686.83$31.27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.4240.210$148.05$151.05
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.024$11.75$1.45
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.021$4.20$6.60
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$211.63
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$6.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$4.10
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$28.00
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$13.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4$160.00
08-03 03:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$320.00
08-03 03:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4$400.00
08-02 10:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.33$66.00
08-02 10:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.47$32.81
08-02 10:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$64.00
08-02 07:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.27$81.00
08-02 07:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.43$51.60
08-02 07:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.43$107.50
08-02 07:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$6.31
08-02 07:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$59.44
08-02 07:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.27$82.33
08-02 07:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$35.64
08-02 07:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$176.00
08-02 07:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$192.00