0x5D596B48aE81b9ba1Ac9c93a37e09E508ca65162-1775165964909
0x778b3524d05d89789de8035fa7233f33c43b4e2d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $61.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$459.92at 0.330Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$331.05at 0.666US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$114.17at 0.137Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
- +$109.48at 0.450Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$57.00at 0.056Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $160.00 |
| 08-03 03:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $320.00 |
| 08-03 03:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 08-02 10:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 08-02 10:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $32.81 |
| 08-02 10:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $51.60 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $107.50 |
| 08-02 07:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $6.31 |
| 08-02 07:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $59.44 |
| 08-02 07:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $82.33 |
| 08-02 07:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $35.64 |
| 08-02 07:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $176.00 |
| 08-02 07:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $192.00 |