0x777E5Ad32Ac731291D3c68c3e2DF889cc59Cf226-1774323326966
0x777e5ad32ac731291d3c68c3e2df889cc59cf226
- Realised P&L
- $3.86
- Volume
- $53.7k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.63at 0.022US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$101.11at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$22.78at 0.018Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$22.11at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:40 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 20:13 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 09:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.0839999294 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 07:57 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 19:16 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 11:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 03:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |