PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x777E5Ad32Ac731291D3c68c3e2DF889cc59Cf226-1774323326966

0x777e5ad32ac731291d3c68c3e2df889cc59cf226

Realised P&L
$-17.27
Volume
$54.5k
Markets traded
267
Open portfolio
$12.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded267
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0830.045$2.70−$2.30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0980.025$2.60−$7.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.036$2.15−$7.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4? · Yes0.0090.009$0.94−$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? · No0.0160.013$0.84−$0.16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.155$0.78−$0.22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0720.028$0.76−$1.24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1700.075$0.44−$0.56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.037$0.42−$0.58
Trump on $250 bill this year? · Yes0.1000.025$0.26−$0.74
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.017$0.21−$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25? · No0.1460.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 06:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-28 06:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?BUY0.016$1.00
09-21 15:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27?BUY0.1849999797$1.00
09-21 15:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 27?BUY0.0239999998$1.00
09-18 14:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?BUY0.1089999991$1.00
09-12 11:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18?BUY0.0289999997$1.00
09-12 11:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
09-05 10:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 11?BUY0.023999977$1.00
09-05 10:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?BUY0.025999975$1.00
08-28 18:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
08-28 18:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
08-25 05:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 30?BUY0.0710000053$1.00
08-25 04:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?SELL0.837$11.63
08-24 13:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 30?BUY0.08$1.00
08-21 15:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?SELL0.4105475504$5.70