PolyBot

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Traders

Llama99

0x777781d5928f676630286a09761cea756c837e94

Realised P&L
$-56.69
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$68.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1800.740$49.31+$37.31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4610.573$6.21+$1.21
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1580.135$4.26$0.74
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.057$1.90$1.10
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0360.041$1.12+$0.12
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2900.280$0.97$0.03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.045$0.96$2.04
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0970.090$0.93$0.07
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0790.018$0.70$2.30
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0900.054$0.61$0.39
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.003$0.50$0.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.080$0.44$0.56
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.001$0.13$0.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 09:59Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-27 17:32Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
07-27 17:31Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$1.00
07-27 17:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4609999922$5.00
07-27 17:30Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
07-27 17:30Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0969999157$1.00
07-11 13:18Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0669999798$3.00
07-08 14:17Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1335714286$2.66
07-08 14:16Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.999$6.65
07-06 21:51Will Starmer say "Record Investment" during the next PMQ?BUY0.65$1.00
07-06 21:51Will Starmer say "Record Funding" during the next PMQ?BUY0.5$1.00
07-06 21:51Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?BUY0.5$1.00
07-06 21:51Will Starmer say "Shadow" during the next PMQ?BUY0.64$2.00
07-06 21:50Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next PMQ?BUY0.5$2.00
07-06 21:48Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999663$3.38