Llama99
0x777781d5928f676630286a09761cea756c837e94
- Realised P&L
- $-56.69
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $68.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.36at 0.155Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$13.40at 0.008Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$11.25at 0.240Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
- +$10.65at 0.005Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$9.59at 0.654Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:59 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:32 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:31 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4609999922 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 17:30 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:30 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 13:18 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0669999798 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 14:17 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1335714286 | $2.66 |
| 07-08 14:16 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.65 |
| 07-06 21:51 | Will Starmer say "Record Investment" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:51 | Will Starmer say "Record Funding" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:51 | Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:51 | Will Starmer say "Shadow" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 21:50 | Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 21:48 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999663 | $3.38 |