Cyrily
0x7760ce0dd3cbf59bf1b6f6575fe709e2b573ec45
- Realised P&L
- $-1.36
- Volume
- $852.11
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $9.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 13?
- +$1.70at 0.500Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.500Will the number of US flights delayed on March 27 be between 3,000 and 3,500?
- +$0.63at 0.500Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$0.59at 0.500Will Ellie Kildunne be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:43 | Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9199999643 | $1.03 |
| 10-03 07:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:41 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.43 |
| 10-03 07:41 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.50 |
| 10-03 07:40 | Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.91 |
| 10-03 07:39 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:38 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.99 |
| 10-03 07:36 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 07:34 | Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 07:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 3? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.94 |
| 10-03 07:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 3? | BUY | 0.9989999103 | $11.00 |
| 10-03 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-03 07:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6439997836 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 07-25 18:49 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |