0x77504bba1f32c680485de4d421b3c38ec7efac33
0x77504bba1f32c680485de4d421b3c38ec7efac33
- Realised P&L
- $-4.54
- Volume
- $273.44
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $4.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.205 | $1.28 | −$0.72 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? · No | 0.710 | 0.845 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.126 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.27at 0.247Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.09at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:40 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2049999908 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 23:30 | CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:37 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7109998791 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 08:26 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 00:26 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6909995239 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:24 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 05:21 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 21:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2659999644 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:12 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:05 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |