0x77446aafb04a685d9e7d33a773712a56fe7023f2
0x77446aafb04a685d9e7d33a773712a56fe7023f2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $226.7k
- Markets traded
- 472
- Open portfolio
- $697.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded472
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.57at 0.090Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
- +$195.35at 0.988Will the US strike Somalia next?
- +$180.15at 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$171.89at 0.120Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$104.34at 0.670US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 20:03 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.03 |
| 08-25 20:02 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.279 | $0.03 |
| 08-25 20:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.278 | $0.03 |
| 08-21 13:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999963 | $1.07 |
| 08-21 12:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999885 | $1.11 |
| 08-21 12:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999963 | $1.07 |
| 08-21 08:59 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999963 | $1.07 |
| 08-21 08:48 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999991 | $10.11 |
| 08-21 07:54 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.966999999 | $15.02 |
| 08-21 07:31 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $34.43 |
| 08-21 06:55 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.03 |
| 08-19 00:36 | Will Iran target Oman by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1031460208 | $1.89 |
| 08-19 00:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.07 |
| 08-19 00:15 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.07 |
| 08-19 00:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.06 |