PolyBot

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Traders

0x77446aafb04a685d9e7d33a773712a56fe7023f2

0x77446aafb04a685d9e7d33a773712a56fe7023f2

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$226.7k
Markets traded
472
Open portfolio
$697.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded472
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3261.000$303.73+$204.73
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8500.949$160.79+$16.77
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · No0.8690.986$68.55+$8.10
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9080.967$42.44+$2.60
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.005$27.55−$34.79
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.029$15.33−$65.34
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.940$14.60−$0.42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.989$14.54+$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1100.024$13.10−$48.22
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.8300.875$8.02+$0.41
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.5871.000$6.54+$2.70
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.2620.060$6.29−$20.92
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7200.625$6.04−$0.92
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.3041.000$3.75+$2.61
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.8000.964$1.29+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 20:03Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.28$0.03
08-25 20:02Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.279$0.03
08-25 20:01Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.278$0.03
08-21 13:00Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999963$1.07
08-21 12:57Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999885$1.11
08-21 12:57Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999963$1.07
08-21 08:59Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999963$1.07
08-21 08:48Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999991$10.11
08-21 07:54U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.966999999$15.02
08-21 07:31Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?SELL0.23$34.43
08-21 06:55Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?SELL0.23$0.03
08-19 00:36Will Iran target Oman by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1031460208$1.89
08-19 00:25Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$0.07
08-19 00:15Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.71$0.07
08-19 00:01Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.72$0.06