AUGUSTUS976
0x76d5889c04cfbac8800ddd80ebdbdceb8c4a81d3
- Realised P&L
- $-613.36
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.57at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$291.38at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$256.95at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$239.57at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$227.72at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:09 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999999 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 11:09 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 11:08 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8137059842 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 11:05 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:05 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.109 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 20:59 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $250.00 |
| 10-31 20:42 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $300.00 |
| 06-06 09:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-06 09:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-06 09:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 06-06 08:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 06-06 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 06-06 08:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |