PolyBot

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Traders

IceAdrian

0x76cdb781870dc761b50912fd299c40d8dbc288cc

Realised P&L
$5.28
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$21.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9100.960$10.54+$0.54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1220.213$5.25+$2.25
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3900.745$3.73+$1.77
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · No0.1300.135$1.35+$0.05
Will SV Elversberg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0060.004$0.58−$0.42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.019$0.18−$0.82
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$10.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:00Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.13$1.30
09-13 16:59Will SV Elversberg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.006$1.00
09-13 16:57Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.39$1.95
02-14 11:01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
02-14 10:55Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
02-14 10:51Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1219999689$3.00
08-11 15:04Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?BUY0.009$10.00
08-11 15:04Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?BUY0.01$1.00
04-22 23:58Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-20 19:52Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?BUY0.0528216262$5.00
03-31 19:25Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
03-25 17:44Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?BUY0.3885700239$5.00
03-25 17:43Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
03-24 19:03Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?BUY0.2259998639$1.00
03-15 17:45Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?BUY0.3269998842$1.00