Casemiro18
0x76c7ad96e789e3995046af3bb13218f5f1a2860e
- Realised P&L
- $-75.73
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,496
- Open portfolio
- $403.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,496
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.82at 0.269Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?
- +$36.54at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?
- +$33.57at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?
- +$29.80at 0.255Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 29?
- +$28.27at 0.265Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-01 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-01 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9133333333 | $13.70 |
| 10-01 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-01 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-01 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.80 |
| 10-01 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.79 |
| 10-01 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 10-01 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-30 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-30 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-30 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |