PolyBot

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Traders

Casemiro18

0x76c7ad96e789e3995046af3bb13218f5f1a2860e

Realised P&L
$-75.73
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
1,496
Open portfolio
$403.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,496
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9050.901$72.12−$0.32
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.982$29.46+$2.16
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9580.975$29.23+$0.49
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9100.971$29.12+$1.82
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.925$27.77+$0.56
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9450.983$19.64+$0.75
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9140.964$19.28+$0.99
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · No0.6700.950$19.00+$5.60
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7500.791$15.83+$0.83
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9610.970$15.56+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1? · No0.9131.000$14.99+$1.29
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.2380.474$12.46+$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? · No0.9350.995$9.95+$0.59
Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9300.966$9.66+$0.36
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9540.965$9.65+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 10:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.96$4.80
10-01 10:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.998$4.99
10-01 09:42Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1?BUY0.9133333333$13.70
10-01 09:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.998$4.99
10-01 09:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 2?BUY0.99$4.95
10-01 05:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.93$4.65
10-01 04:44Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.85$6.80
10-01 04:42Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.75$3.79
10-01 03:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.94$9.40
10-01 01:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1?BUY0.97$4.85
09-30 11:41Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 30?BUY0.84$4.20
09-30 10:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.94$4.70
09-30 10:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1?BUY0.999$5.00
09-30 10:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.999$5.00
09-30 10:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.997$4.99