PolyBot

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Traders

Man0000001

0x76a4d01eef40a3059c1f8ee13eb2ce3ec95d578c

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8850.855$135.21$4.79
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.945$111.18+$11.18
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9350.961$105.66+$2.81
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9300.973$97.25+$4.25
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.956$95.60+$3.60
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.935$93.50+$0.50
Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat? · Yes0.9440.945$92.61+$0.11
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.925$92.50+$0.50
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.915$91.50+$0.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4930.595$89.25+$15.25
Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat? · No0.9600.955$76.40$0.40
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · No0.9600.965$67.52+$0.32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.605$60.50$0.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3630.305$45.75$8.75
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat? · Yes0.9200.962$28.84+$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 13:34Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?BUY0.96$67.20
09-08 13:32Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?BUY0.12$2.40
09-08 13:31Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.012$2.40
09-06 19:50Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?BUY0.96$76.80
09-06 19:48Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?BUY0.95$64.60
08-31 13:21Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8599999935$50.00
08-30 02:51Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?SELL0.2860734$28.61
08-30 02:49Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.9381141$93.81
08-30 02:34Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3018462894$50.00
08-30 02:33Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?SELL0.7075$14.15
08-30 02:33Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?SELL0.708$3.54
08-28 18:30Will Jason Poulos be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.981$84.37
08-28 15:25Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.721$18.02
08-28 14:32Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?SELL0.909$45.45
08-28 14:17Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.12$12.00