Man0000001
0x76a4d01eef40a3059c1f8ee13eb2ce3ec95d578c
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.398Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
- +$218.64at 0.379Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$181.00at 0.819Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$53.58at 0.727Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$43.58at 0.500Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 13:34 | Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $67.20 |
| 09-08 13:32 | Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-08 13:31 | Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.40 |
| 09-06 19:50 | Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $76.80 |
| 09-06 19:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $64.60 |
| 08-31 13:21 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $50.00 |
| 08-30 02:51 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2860734 | $28.61 |
| 08-30 02:49 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.9381141 | $93.81 |
| 08-30 02:34 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3018462894 | $50.00 |
| 08-30 02:33 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7075 | $14.15 |
| 08-30 02:33 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.708 | $3.54 |
| 08-28 18:30 | Will Jason Poulos be the MA-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.981 | $84.37 |
| 08-28 15:25 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.721 | $18.02 |
| 08-28 14:32 | Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.909 | $45.45 |
| 08-28 14:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |