PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

asdas44

0x769fc2bc656d34a81aeb362ab5f04a1629c430fa

Realised P&L
$-55.04
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$22.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.1300.167$6.42+$1.42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1840.090$4.92−$5.08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4590.293$3.80−$2.15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0250.036$2.89+$0.91
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1600.165$1.55+$0.05
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.3100.320$1.34+$0.04
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.165$0.92−$0.08
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.003$0.63−$0.38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0900.013$0.15−$0.85
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.80
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 20:11Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-06 23:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.9299998419$1.00
10-06 23:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-06 23:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 23:27Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0789999991$1.00
10-06 23:27Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-06 23:27Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1549999977$3.00
10-06 22:34Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.3099999547$1.30
10-06 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.61$0.90
10-06 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-06 18:54Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4589999987$5.95
10-06 18:53Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.025$1.98
10-06 18:52Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.7699999765$5.90
10-06 18:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$1.50