0x7678aa83a333f333356c04d4faa929d81b2322a3
0x7678aa83a333f333356c04d4faa929d81b2322a3
- Realised P&L
- $11.6k
- Volume
- $548.8k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $10.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.249US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$2.4kat 0.835Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.728Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.394NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.575US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 23:28 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7150352467 | $142.01 |
| 10-10 23:28 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.6493548387 | $100.65 |
| 10-10 23:27 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $49.80 |
| 10-10 22:37 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7555742342 | $419.34 |
| 10-10 21:56 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 10-10 16:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $50.17 |
| 10-10 16:27 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.4112727273 | $226.20 |
| 10-10 13:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.9k |
| 10-09 23:49 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $309.69 |
| 10-09 21:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.069 | $141.52 |
| 10-09 17:58 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $610.00 |
| 10-09 02:46 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.1939468867 | $290.92 |
| 10-09 02:38 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.199 | $99.50 |
| 10-09 01:38 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.8492465347 | $383.54 |
| 10-09 01:38 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.8365311269 | $484.28 |