PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7678aa83a333f333356c04d4faa929d81b2322a3

0x7678aa83a333f333356c04d4faa929d81b2322a3

Realised P&L
$11.6k
Volume
$548.8k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$10.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7800.785$2.7k+$17.50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6270.625$1.9k−$5.00
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No0.7590.700$1.8k−$150.07
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7470.765$1.6k+$39.08
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.9090.948$1.0k+$40.97
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.9200.815$916.17−$118.03
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.4130.535$401.24+$91.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1400.125$250.00−$30.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0660.021$108.60−$224.92
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.7870.780$108.35−$1.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.8300.915$54.90+$5.10
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$25.18+$1.28
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.0990.045$0.86−$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 23:28US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7150352467$142.01
10-10 23:28US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.6493548387$100.65
10-10 23:27US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.83$49.80
10-10 22:37US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7555742342$419.34
10-10 21:56US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.82$82.00
10-10 16:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$50.17
10-10 16:27US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.4112727273$226.20
10-10 13:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.78$1.9k
10-09 23:49Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$309.69
10-09 21:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.069$141.52
10-09 17:58Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.61$610.00
10-09 02:46Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.1939468867$290.92
10-09 02:38Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.199$99.50
10-09 01:38Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.8492465347$383.54
10-09 01:38Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.8365311269$484.28