0x7658DeEF7475D836F68A1a96AF911B751014E770-1767903778586
0x7658deef7475d836f68a1a96af911b751014e770
- Realised P&L
- $231.46
- Volume
- $74.0k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $679.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.785 | $501.06 | +$201.06 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.165 | $178.63 | −$11.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$533.71at 0.102Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1?
- +$265.02at 0.339Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
- +$116.07at 0.616Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 21?
- +$67.92at 0.340Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?
- +$48.88at 0.369Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 22:14 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1754173132 | $189.91 |
| 08-17 22:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $201.51 |
| 05-27 05:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3716487464 | $44.90 |
| 05-27 05:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3543307067 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 05:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999994 | $300.00 |
| 05-26 10:31 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $457.26 |
| 05-20 17:57 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? | BUY | 0.3299999992 | $184.02 |
| 04-24 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 24? | BUY | 0.6 | $8.93 |
| 04-22 21:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.6899999833 | $9.63 |
| 04-21 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21? | BUY | 0.5599999898 | $10.54 |
| 04-21 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.6099999795 | $10.29 |
| 04-20 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 20? | BUY | 0.7246980394 | $11.67 |
| 04-20 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.6 | $8.93 |
| 04-19 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 20? | BUY | 0.5899999819 | $9.36 |
| 04-19 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 19? | BUY | 0.5899999829 | $9.94 |