0x75Fd8F4BC536F1cE9D8b76Fe4D77C9DD69A99924-1770872764149
0x75fd8f4bc536f1ce9d8b76fe4d77c9dd69a99924
- Realised P&L
- $382.92
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.956 | $3.1k | −$7.31 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.924 | 0.935 | $2.2k | +$25.41 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.958 | $1.4k | +$61.18 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.945 | $472.50 | +$42.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.50at 0.969Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
- +$164.27at 0.934Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$123.64at 0.845US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$83.26at 0.700US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$72.03at 0.938Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:05 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.3k |
| 09-16 13:04 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 13:04 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $134.52 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $547.98 |
| 09-15 18:37 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $754.38 |
| 09-14 10:24 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $28.75 |
| 09-12 14:34 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-10 15:20 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $206.46 |
| 09-03 14:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-03 11:19 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.50 |
| 09-03 05:06 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-03 04:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-03 04:20 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-02 15:32 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-02 14:17 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |