slifsh
0x75f3f61e4d0686f18d4e2f3a38785642a6d5a0d0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $906.8k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $25.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.952 | 0.953 | $6.2k | +$1.77 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.475 | $4.4k | −$521.05 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.502 | $4.3k | −$218.70 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.935 | $3.8k | +$82.21 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.940 | 0.915 | $2.7k | −$75.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.700 | 0.695 | $2.1k | −$15.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.905 | $1.8k | +$107.25 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17? · No | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.2k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.907 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$998.18 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.439Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$1.4kat 0.710Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$1.0kat 0.650Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
- +$1.0kat 0.600Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 14:44 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 08-20 12:14 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.56 | $274.55 |
| 08-20 12:12 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.956 | $982.89 |
| 08-18 06:51 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 08:45 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.949 | $58.87 |
| 05-16 16:02 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.39 | $281.40 |
| 05-12 16:21 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199594605 | $3.0k |
| 05-12 16:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.5k |
| 05-12 16:17 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.8593048172 | $2.5k |
| 03-17 21:08 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $500.00 |
| 03-13 09:37 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.0379280182 | $208.60 |
| 03-13 09:23 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.0442468633 | $372.19 |
| 03-13 09:05 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.031 | $183.79 |
| 03-05 00:47 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | SELL | 0.5225262744 | $1.5k |
| 03-05 00:41 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | BUY | 0.7077271581 | $2.0k |