PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

niber18

0x75ef2c0c9dc51a4e38ff7a9827748217cf3f2597

Realised P&L
$-615.48
Volume
$31.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$811.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · No0.2101.000$380.38+$300.38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.7190.525$160.64$59.36
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.2000.515$128.75+$78.75
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1500.029$38.00$162.00
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.037$35.16$264.84
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.041$31.15$68.85
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0350.026$30.19$9.81
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.4600.063$6.79$43.21
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$200.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$50.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$20.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$60.00
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-08 09:59Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?BUY0.2$50.00
01-08 09:40Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$300.00
01-08 09:34Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.4599999958$50.00
01-08 09:27Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.7190195184$220.00
01-08 09:2550m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?BUY0.4$200.00
01-08 09:23Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.0168992563$60.00
01-08 09:21Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.2103170035$80.00
01-08 09:17Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0351133917$40.00
01-08 09:15Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.2$50.00
01-08 09:13Maduro mugshot released by January 16?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
01-08 09:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
01-08 09:11Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.001$20.00
01-08 09:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.026$50.00
01-08 09:06Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1499999994$200.00