peter0127
0x75dadfa3f0ac65df725d27b20e7de29e09e0edff
- Realised P&L
- $-221.04
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $15.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.205 | $6.15 | +$1.35 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.335 | $3.35 | +$1.15 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.214 | $3.22 | +$1.96 |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.205 | $1.02 | +$0.78 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.194 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.075 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.48at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$34.80at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$34.37at 0.115Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$27.92at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8AM ET
- +$26.14at 0.680Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-06 17:35 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 09-03 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-03 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-03 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-03 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 09-03 01:02 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 09-03 00:58 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.42 |
| 08-30 17:19 | Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-30 17:15 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.26 |
| 08-30 17:15 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-30 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 08-30 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-30 16:36 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |