0x75c33f7dcc4e080a6731d08d6cbc88916e31863e
0x75c33f7dcc4e080a6731d08d6cbc88916e31863e
- Realised P&L
- $-30.31
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $60.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.245 | $30.63 | −$9.38 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.017 | $19.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.025 | $10.33 | −$9.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kings vs. Avalanche · Kings | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.11at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET
- +$12.67at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$6.94at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$-10.73at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$-20.54at 0.575Golden Knights vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:28 | Kings vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.4538269802 | $90.13 |
| 10-01 02:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 01:01 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.0484181734 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $17.65 |
| 10-01 00:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.00 |
| 10-01 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 23:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Kings vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 22:57 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $20.00 |